Coronavirus in Virginia

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DISCLAIMER ✋

The estimates and predictions presented here are based partially on speculative mathematical models. All statements without guarantee!

How were the past few days in Virginia and how could it go on?

7 days incidence (sum of new infections of the last 7 days per 100k inhabitants)

388Jan 24420Jan 11474Feb 7

The graph above and the following table show the course of 7 days incidence in Virginia assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend.

Jan 11

420

-

Jan 12

422

+2 (+0.513%)

Jan 13

413

-9 (-2.19%)

Jan 14

412

0 (-0.241%)

Jan 15

407

-5 (-1.26%)

Jan 16

418

+11 (+2.76%)

Jan 17

474

+56 (+13.4%)

Jan 18

506

+32 (+6.71%)

Jan 19

505

0 (-0.0811%)

Jan 20

504

0 (-0.192%)

Jan 21

489

-15 (-2.98%)

Jan 22

482

-8 (-1.55%)

Jan 23

460

-22 (-4.51%)

Jan 24

388

-72 (-15.6%)

Jan 25

465
386 - 560

+77 (+19.8%)

Jan 26

466
387 - 560

+0 (+0.142%)

Jan 27

466
387 - 561

+0 (+0.142%)

Jan 28

467
388 - 562

+0 (+0.142%)

Jan 29

468
389 - 563

+0 (+0.142%)

Jan 30

468
389 - 564

+0 (+0.142%)

Jan 31

469
390 - 564

+0 (+0.142%)

Feb 1

470
390 - 565

+0 (+0.142%)

Feb 2

470
391 - 566

+0 (+0.142%)

Feb 3

471
391 - 567

+0 (+0.142%)

Feb 4

472
392 - 568

+0 (+0.142%)

Feb 5

472
392 - 568

+0 (+0.142%)

Feb 6

473
393 - 569

+0 (+0.142%)

Feb 7

474
394 - 570

+0 (+0.142%)

Daily new coronavirus infections

3,790Jan 244,530Jan 111,610Feb 7

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported daily new coronavirus infections in Virginia assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend.

Jan 11

4,530

-

Jan 12

4,560

+31 (+0.684%)

Jan 13

4,600

+37 (+0.811%)

Jan 14

5,290

+696 (+15.1%)

Jan 15

4,800

-,499 (-9.43%)

Jan 16

6,760

+1,960 (+40.9%)

Jan 17

9,910

+3,160 (+46.7%)

Jan 18

7,250

-2,670 (-26.9%)

Jan 19

4,530

-2,720 (-37.5%)

Jan 20

4,520

-11 (-0.243%)

Jan 21

4,010

-,502 (-11.1%)

Jan 22

4,150

+134 (+3.34%)

Jan 23

4,900

+757 (+18.3%)

Jan 24

3,790

-1,110 (-22.7%)

Jan 25

3,670
2,320 - 5,820

-,120 (-3.15%)

Jan 26

3,450
2,180 - 5,460

-,226 (-6.16%)

Jan 27

3,230
2,040 - 5,120

-,212 (-6.16%)

Jan 28

3,030
1,920 - 4,810

-,199 (-6.16%)

Jan 29

2,850
1,800 - 4,510

-,187 (-6.16%)

Jan 30

2,670
1,690 - 4,230

-,175 (-6.16%)

Jan 31

2,510
1,580 - 3,970

-,165 (-6.16%)

Feb 1

2,350
1,490 - 3,730

-,154 (-6.16%)

Feb 2

2,210
1,390 - 3,500

-,145 (-6.16%)

Feb 3

2,070
1,310 - 3,280

-,136 (-6.16%)

Feb 4

1,940
1,230 - 3,080

-,128 (-6.16%)

Feb 5

1,830
1,150 - 2,890

-,120 (-6.16%)

Feb 6

1,710
1,080 - 2,710

-,112 (-6.16%)

Feb 7

1,610
1,010 - 2,550

-,105 (-6.16%)

Daily deaths by coronavirus

-1Jan 2410Jan 11199Feb 7

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported daily deaths by coronavirus in Virginia assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without.

Jan 11

10

-

Jan 12

84

+74 (+740%)

Jan 13

75

-9 (-10.7%)

Jan 14

74

-1 (-1.33%)

Jan 15

30

-44 (-59.5%)

Jan 16

50

+20 (+66.7%)

Jan 17

23

-27 (-54%)

Jan 18

10

-13 (-56.5%)

Jan 19

59

+49 (+490%)

Jan 20

63

+4 (+6.78%)

Jan 21

79

+16 (+25.4%)

Jan 22

62

-17 (-21.5%)

Jan 23

77

+15 (+24.2%)

Jan 24

-1

-78 (-,101%)

Jan 25

74
22 - 244

+75 (-7,510%)

Jan 26

80
24 - 263

+6 (+7.89%)

Jan 27

86
26 - 284

+6 (+7.89%)

Jan 28

93
28 - 306

+7 (+7.89%)

Jan 29

100
30 - 331

+7 (+7.89%)

Jan 30

108
33 - 357

+8 (+7.89%)

Jan 31

117
35 - 385

+9 (+7.89%)

Feb 1

126
38 - 415

+9 (+7.89%)

Feb 2

136
41 - 448

+10 (+7.89%)

Feb 3

147
45 - 483

+11 (+7.89%)

Feb 4

158
48 - 521

+12 (+7.89%)

Feb 5

171
52 - 562

+12 (+7.89%)

Feb 6

184
56 - 607

+13 (+7.89%)

Feb 7

199
60 - 655

+15 (+7.89%)

How can I protect myself and others?

The German Federal Ministry of Health recommends:

  • Keep the greatest possible distance when coughing or sneezing - it is best to turn away.
  • Sneeze into the crook of the arm or a handkerchief, which you can then dispose of.
  • Avoid touching when greeting other people and wash your hands regularly and thoroughly with soap and water for at least 20 seconds.

We do not guarantee the accuracy of the information.

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