Coronavirus in California

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DISCLAIMER ✋

The estimates and predictions presented here are based partially on speculative mathematical models. All statements without guarantee!

How were the past few days in California and how could it go on?

7 days incidence (sum of new infections of the last 7 days per 100k inhabitants)

451Jan 24748Jan 11196Feb 7

The graph above and the following table show the course of 7 days incidence in California assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend.

Jan 11

748

-

Jan 12

782

+33 (+4.47%)

Jan 13

777

-5 (-0.646%)

Jan 14

792

+15 (+1.96%)

Jan 15

766

-25 (-3.2%)

Jan 16

731

-36 (-4.63%)

Jan 17

685

-46 (-6.36%)

Jan 18

673

-11 (-1.64%)

Jan 19

635

-38 (-5.68%)

Jan 20

589

-46 (-7.27%)

Jan 21

547

-41 (-7.02%)

Jan 22

511

-37 (-6.75%)

Jan 23

475

-35 (-6.87%)

Jan 24

451

-25 (-5.17%)

Jan 25

429
414 - 445

-22 (-4.9%)

Jan 26

404
389 - 419

-25 (-5.85%)

Jan 27

380
367 - 394

-24 (-5.85%)

Jan 28

358
345 - 371

-22 (-5.85%)

Jan 29

337
325 - 349

-21 (-5.85%)

Jan 30

317
306 - 329

-20 (-5.85%)

Jan 31

299
288 - 310

-19 (-5.85%)

Feb 1

281
271 - 292

-17 (-5.85%)

Feb 2

265
255 - 274

-16 (-5.85%)

Feb 3

249
240 - 258

-15 (-5.85%)

Feb 4

235
226 - 243

-15 (-5.85%)

Feb 5

221
213 - 229

-14 (-5.85%)

Feb 6

208
201 - 216

-13 (-5.85%)

Feb 7

196
189 - 203

-12 (-5.85%)

Daily new coronavirus infections

18,700Jan 2435,900Jan 117,320Feb 7

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported daily new coronavirus infections in California assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend.

Jan 11

35,900

-

Jan 12

50,900

+15,000 (+41.9%)

Jan 13

33,000

-17,900 (-35.1%)

Jan 14

46,000

+12,900 (+39.2%)

Jan 15

39,000

-7,000 (-15.2%)

Jan 16

37,200

-1,820 (-4.66%)

Jan 17

28,500

-8,710 (-23.4%)

Jan 18

31,400

+2,970 (+10.4%)

Jan 19

35,800

+4,380 (+13.9%)

Jan 20

14,800

-21,000 (-58.7%)

Jan 21

29,700

+14,900 (+100%)

Jan 22

24,400

-5,260 (-17.7%)

Jan 23

23,300

-1,080 (-4.42%)

Jan 24

18,700

-4,570 (-19.6%)

Jan 25

18,400
12,000 - 28,300

-,355 (-1.89%)

Jan 26

17,100
11,100 - 26,300

-1,260 (-6.84%)

Jan 27

16,000
10,400 - 24,500

-1,170 (-6.84%)

Jan 28

14,900
9,660 - 22,900

-1,090 (-6.84%)

Jan 29

13,800
9,000 - 21,300

-1,020 (-6.84%)

Jan 30

12,900
8,390 - 19,800

-,947 (-6.84%)

Jan 31

12,000
7,810 - 18,500

-,882 (-6.84%)

Feb 1

11,200
7,280 - 17,200

-,822 (-6.84%)

Feb 2

10,400
6,780 - 16,000

-,766 (-6.84%)

Feb 3

9,720
6,320 - 15,000

-,713 (-6.84%)

Feb 4

9,050
5,890 - 13,900

-,665 (-6.84%)

Feb 5

8,430
5,480 - 13,000

-,619 (-6.84%)

Feb 6

7,860
5,110 - 12,100

-,577 (-6.84%)

Feb 7

7,320
4,760 - 11,300

-,537 (-6.84%)

Daily deaths by coronavirus

269Jan 24256Jan 11609Feb 7

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported daily deaths by coronavirus in California assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without.

Jan 11

256

-

Jan 12

897

+641 (+250%)

Jan 13

416

-,481 (-53.6%)

Jan 14

745

+329 (+79.1%)

Jan 15

684

-61 (-8.19%)

Jan 16

406

-,278 (-40.6%)

Jan 17

181

-,225 (-55.4%)

Jan 18

157

-24 (-13.3%)

Jan 19

695

+538 (+343%)

Jan 20

473

-,222 (-31.9%)

Jan 21

882

+409 (+86.5%)

Jan 22

566

-,316 (-35.8%)

Jan 23

484

-82 (-14.5%)

Jan 24

269

-,215 (-44.4%)

Jan 25

469
156 - 1,400

+200 (+74.2%)

Jan 26

478
160 - 1,430

+10 (+2.04%)

Jan 27

488
163 - 1,460

+10 (+2.04%)

Jan 28

498
166 - 1,490

+10 (+2.04%)

Jan 29

508
170 - 1,520

+10 (+2.04%)

Jan 30

518
173 - 1,550

+10 (+2.04%)

Jan 31

529
177 - 1,580

+11 (+2.04%)

Feb 1

540
180 - 1,620

+11 (+2.04%)

Feb 2

551
184 - 1,650

+11 (+2.04%)

Feb 3

562
188 - 1,680

+11 (+2.04%)

Feb 4

573
191 - 1,720

+11 (+2.04%)

Feb 5

585
195 - 1,750

+12 (+2.04%)

Feb 6

597
199 - 1,790

+12 (+2.04%)

Feb 7

609
203 - 1,820

+12 (+2.04%)

How can I protect myself and others?

The German Federal Ministry of Health recommends:

  • Keep the greatest possible distance when coughing or sneezing - it is best to turn away.
  • Sneeze into the crook of the arm or a handkerchief, which you can then dispose of.
  • Avoid touching when greeting other people and wash your hands regularly and thoroughly with soap and water for at least 20 seconds.

We do not guarantee the accuracy of the information.

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