Coronavirus in Trinidad and Tobago

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DISCLAIMER ✋

The estimates and predictions presented here are based partially on speculative mathematical models. All statements without guarantee!

How were the past few days in Trinidad and Tobago and how could it go on?

Coronavirus infections

115Apr 24114Apr 15115May 40

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported coronavirus infections in Trinidad and Tobago assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without any slowdown.

Apr 15

114

-

Apr 16

114

+0 (+0%)

Apr 17

114

+0 (+0%)

Apr 18

114

+0 (+0%)

Apr 19

114

+0 (+0%)

Apr 20

114

+0 (+0%)

Apr 21

115

+1 (+0.877%)

Apr 22

115

+0 (+0%)

Apr 23

115

+0 (+0%)

Apr 24

115

+0 (+0%)

Apr 25

115
115 - 115

+0 (+2.22e-14%)

Apr 26

115
115 - 115

+0 (+0%)

Apr 27

115
115 - 115

+0 (+0%)

Apr 28

115
115 - 115

+0 (+0%)

Apr 29

115
115 - 115

+0 (+0%)

Apr 30

115
115 - 115

+0 (+0%)

May 1

115
115 - 115

+0 (+0%)

May 2

115
115 - 115

+0 (+0%)

May 3

115
115 - 115

+0 (+0%)

May 4

115
115 - 115

+0 (+0%)

Deaths by coronavirus

8Apr 248Apr 158May 40

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported deaths by coronavirus in Trinidad and Tobago assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without any slowdown.

Apr 15

8

-

Apr 16

8

+0 (+0%)

Apr 17

8

+0 (+0%)

Apr 18

8

+0 (+0%)

Apr 19

8

+0 (+0%)

Apr 20

8

+0 (+0%)

Apr 21

8

+0 (+0%)

Apr 22

8

+0 (+0%)

Apr 23

8

+0 (+0%)

Apr 24

8

+0 (+0%)

Apr 25

8
8 - 8

+0 (+-2.22e-14%)

Apr 26

8
8 - 8

+0 (+0%)

Apr 27

8
8 - 8

+0 (+0%)

Apr 28

8
8 - 8

+0 (+0%)

Apr 29

8
8 - 8

+0 (+0%)

Apr 30

8
8 - 8

+0 (+0%)

May 1

8
8 - 8

+0 (+0%)

May 2

8
8 - 8

+0 (+0%)

May 3

8
8 - 8

+0 (+0%)

May 4

8
8 - 8

+0 (+0%)

What is the mortality rate in Trinidad and Tobago?

Deaths by coronavirus versus statistical death rate

340000000000Apr 15Apr 24)}

In Trinidad and Tobago, approx. 0.88% of the population die each year. With a population of roughly 1,390,000 people in Trinidad and Tobago, that corresponds to about 34 deaths per day on the statistical average.

The graph above shows the reported daily deaths by coronavirus in contrast to the statistical number as baseline.

Coronavirus mortality rate with time-lag correction

7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.1%7.3%0 days14 days)}

To estimate the mortality rate of coronavirus infections, we need to consider that a reported death already showed up in the reported cases a few days before. It is presumed that this lag is between 7 and 14 days. If we assumed that the lag was about 7 days, the mortality rate in Trinidad and Tobago would be approx. 7%.

The graph aboves shows the mortality depending on different presumed lag.

What was the daily increase in the last days in Trinidad and Tobago?

Coronavirus infections

0.885%0%0%0%0%0%0.877%0%0%0%Apr 15Apr 24)}

The graph above shows the daily increase of reported coronavirus infections in Trinidad and Tobago in the previous days.

Deaths by coronavirus

0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%Apr 15Apr 24)}

The graph shows the daily increase of reported deaths by coronavirus in Trinidad and Tobago in the previous days.

How could the occupation of intensive care beds in Trinidad and Tobago develop?

High standardMedium standard0Apr 25

The graph tries to predict the number of required intensive care units in Trinidad and Tobago. We assume the following:

  • The exponential trend of the past few days has continued and reported cases are active for around 12 days. 2% of active cases are so critical that an intensive care bed is required.
  • High standard: There are 30 intensive care beds per 100,000 inhabitants (417 total).
  • Medium standard: There are 15 intensive care beds per 100,000 inhabitants (208 total).

How can I protect myself and others?

The German Federal Ministry of Health recommends:

  • Keep the greatest possible distance when coughing or sneezing - it is best to turn away.
  • Sneeze into the crook of the arm or a handkerchief, which you can then dispose of.
  • Avoid touching when greeting other people and wash your hands regularly and thoroughly with soap and water for at least 20 seconds.

We do not guarantee the accuracy of the information.

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