Coronavirus in Puerto Rico

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DISCLAIMER ✋

The estimates and predictions presented here are based partially on speculative mathematical models. All statements without guarantee!

How were the past few days in Puerto Rico and how could it go on?

Coronavirus infections

0Mar 223Mar 16

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported coronavirus infections in Puerto Rico assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without any slowdown.

Mar 16

3

-

Mar 17

0

+-3 (+-,100%)

Mar 18

0

+0 (+0%)

Mar 19

0

+0 (+0%)

Mar 20

0

+0 (+0%)

Mar 21

0

+0 (+0%)

Mar 22

0

+0 (+0%)

Deaths by coronavirus

1Mar 220Mar 16

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported deaths by coronavirus in Puerto Rico assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without any slowdown.

Mar 16

0

-

Mar 17

0

+0 (+0%)

Mar 18

0

+0 (+0%)

Mar 19

0

+0 (+0%)

Mar 20

0

+0 (+0%)

Mar 21

0

+0 (+0%)

Mar 22

1

+0 (+0%)

What is the mortality rate in Puerto Rico?

Deaths by coronavirus versus statistical death rate

74000001Mar 17Mar 22)}

In Puerto Rico, approx. 0.851% of the population die each year. With a population of roughly 3,200,000 people in Puerto Rico, that corresponds to about 74 deaths per day on the statistical average.

The graph above shows the reported daily deaths by coronavirus in contrast to the statistical number as baseline.

Coronavirus mortality rate with time-lag correction

0 days-1 days)}

To estimate the mortality rate of coronavirus infections, we need to consider that a reported death already showed up in the reported cases a few days before. It is presumed that this lag is between 7 and 14 days.

The graph aboves shows the mortality depending on different presumed lag.

What was the daily increase in the last days in Puerto Rico?

Coronavirus infections

-,100%0%0%0%0%0%Mar 17Mar 22)}

The graph above shows the daily increase of reported coronavirus infections in Puerto Rico in the previous days.

Deaths by coronavirus

0%0%0%0%0%In,fin,ity%Mar 17Mar 22)}

The graph shows the daily increase of reported deaths by coronavirus in Puerto Rico in the previous days.

How can I protect myself and others?

The German Federal Ministry of Health recommends:

  • Keep the greatest possible distance when coughing or sneezing - it is best to turn away.
  • Sneeze into the crook of the arm or a handkerchief, which you can then dispose of.
  • Avoid touching when greeting other people and wash your hands regularly and thoroughly with soap and water for at least 20 seconds.

We do not guarantee the accuracy of the information.

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