Coronavirus in Moldova, Republic of

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DISCLAIMER ✋

The estimates and predictions presented here are based partially on speculative mathematical models. All statements without guarantee!

How were the past few days in Moldova, Republic of and how could it go on?

Coronavirus infections

3,110Apr 242,050Apr 155,510May 4

Using log-linear regression on the data of the previous days, we could infer an increase of reported coronavirus infections in Moldova, Republic of of about 5.9% each day. That corresponds to a doubling of the numbers approx. every 12 days.

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported coronavirus infections in Moldova, Republic of assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without any slowdown.

Apr 15

2,050

-

Apr 16

2,150

+105 (+5.12%)

Apr 17

2,260

+110 (+5.11%)

Apr 18

2,380

+114 (+5.04%)

Apr 19

2,470

+94 (+3.95%)

Apr 20

2,550

+76 (+3.07%)

Apr 21

2,610

+66 (+2.59%)

Apr 22

2,780

+164 (+6.27%)

Apr 23

2,930

+148 (+5.33%)

Apr 24

3,110

+184 (+6.29%)

Apr 25

3,290
3,280 - 3,300

+180 (+5.8%)

Apr 26

3,480
3,470 - 3,500

+194 (+5.9%)

Apr 27

3,690
3,680 - 3,700

+206 (+5.9%)

Apr 28

3,910
3,890 - 3,920

+218 (+5.9%)

Apr 29

4,140
4,120 - 4,150

+231 (+5.9%)

Apr 30

4,380
4,360 - 4,400

+244 (+5.9%)

May 1

4,640
4,620 - 4,660

+258 (+5.9%)

May 2

4,910
4,890 - 4,930

+274 (+5.9%)

May 3

5,200
5,180 - 5,230

+290 (+5.9%)

May 4

5,510
5,490 - 5,530

+307 (+5.9%)

Deaths by coronavirus

84Apr 2446Apr 15142May 4

Using log-linear regression on the data of the previous days, we could infer an increase of reported deaths by coronavirus in Moldova, Republic of of about 5.41% each day. That corresponds to a doubling of the numbers approx. every 13 days.

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported deaths by coronavirus in Moldova, Republic of assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without any slowdown.

Apr 15

46

-

Apr 16

54

+8 (+17.4%)

Apr 17

56

+2 (+3.7%)

Apr 18

57

+1 (+1.79%)

Apr 19

67

+10 (+17.5%)

Apr 20

70

+3 (+4.48%)

Apr 21

72

+2 (+2.86%)

Apr 22

75

+3 (+4.17%)

Apr 23

80

+5 (+6.67%)

Apr 24

84

+4 (+5%)

Apr 25

89
88 - 89

+5 (+5.41%)

Apr 26

93
92 - 94

+5 (+5.41%)

Apr 27

98
97 - 99

+5 (+5.41%)

Apr 28

104
103 - 105

+5 (+5.41%)

Apr 29

109
108 - 110

+6 (+5.41%)

Apr 30

115
114 - 116

+6 (+5.41%)

May 1

121
120 - 123

+6 (+5.41%)

May 2

128
127 - 129

+7 (+5.41%)

May 3

135
134 - 136

+7 (+5.41%)

May 4

142
141 - 144

+7 (+5.41%)

What is the mortality rate in Moldova, Republic of?

Deaths by coronavirus versus statistical death rate

12268211032354Apr 15Apr 24)}

In Moldova, Republic of, approx. 1.26% of the population die each year. With a population of roughly 3,550,000 people in Moldova, Republic of, that corresponds to about 122 deaths per day on the statistical average.

The graph above shows the reported daily deaths by coronavirus in contrast to the statistical number as baseline.

Coronavirus mortality rate with time-lag correction

2.7%2.9%3%3.2%3.3%3.4%3.5%3.7%3.9%4.1%4.3%4.9%5.1%5.4%5.8%0 days14 days)}

To estimate the mortality rate of coronavirus infections, we need to consider that a reported death already showed up in the reported cases a few days before. It is presumed that this lag is between 7 and 14 days. If we assumed that the lag was about 7 days, the mortality rate in Moldova, Republic of would be approx. 3.7%.

The graph aboves shows the mortality depending on different presumed lag.

What was the daily increase in the last days in Moldova, Republic of?

Coronavirus infections

5.95%5.12%5.11%5.04%3.95%3.07%2.59%6.27%5.33%6.29%Apr 15Apr 24)}

The graph above shows the daily increase of reported coronavirus infections in Moldova, Republic of in the previous days.

Deaths by coronavirus

15%17.4%3.7%1.79%17.5%4.48%2.86%4.17%6.67%5%Apr 15Apr 24)}

The graph shows the daily increase of reported deaths by coronavirus in Moldova, Republic of in the previous days.

How could the occupation of intensive care beds in Moldova, Republic of develop?

High standardMedium standard32Apr 25532Jun 121,060Jun 24

The graph tries to predict the number of required intensive care units in Moldova, Republic of. We assume the following:

  • The exponential trend of the past few days has continued and reported cases are active for around 12 days. 2% of active cases are so critical that an intensive care bed is required.
  • High standard: There are 30 intensive care beds per 100,000 inhabitants (1,060 total).
  • Medium standard: There are 15 intensive care beds per 100,000 inhabitants (532 total).

How can I protect myself and others?

The German Federal Ministry of Health recommends:

  • Keep the greatest possible distance when coughing or sneezing - it is best to turn away.
  • Sneeze into the crook of the arm or a handkerchief, which you can then dispose of.
  • Avoid touching when greeting other people and wash your hands regularly and thoroughly with soap and water for at least 20 seconds.

We do not guarantee the accuracy of the information.

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