Coronavirus in Gambia

Stay home and save lives!
#StayHome
Share via
      

DISCLAIMER ✋

The estimates and predictions presented here are based partially on speculative mathematical models. All statements without guarantee!

How were the past few days in Gambia and how could it go on?

Coronavirus infections

10Apr 249Apr 1510May 40

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported coronavirus infections in Gambia assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without any slowdown.

Apr 15

9

-

Apr 16

9

+0 (+0%)

Apr 17

9

+0 (+0%)

Apr 18

9

+0 (+0%)

Apr 19

10

+1 (+11.1%)

Apr 20

10

+0 (+0%)

Apr 21

10

+0 (+0%)

Apr 22

10

+0 (+0%)

Apr 23

10

+0 (+0%)

Apr 24

10

+0 (+0%)

Apr 25

10
10 - 10

+0 (+2.22e-14%)

Apr 26

10
10 - 10

+0 (+0%)

Apr 27

10
10 - 10

+0 (+0%)

Apr 28

10
10 - 10

+0 (+0%)

Apr 29

10
10 - 10

+0 (+0%)

Apr 30

10
10 - 10

+0 (+0%)

May 1

10
10 - 10

+0 (+0%)

May 2

10
10 - 10

+0 (+0%)

May 3

10
10 - 10

+0 (+0%)

May 4

10
10 - 10

+0 (+0%)

Deaths by coronavirus

1Apr 241Apr 15

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported deaths by coronavirus in Gambia assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without any slowdown.

Apr 15

1

-

Apr 16

1

+0 (+0%)

Apr 17

1

+0 (+0%)

Apr 18

1

+0 (+0%)

Apr 19

1

+0 (+0%)

Apr 20

1

+0 (+0%)

Apr 21

1

+0 (+0%)

Apr 22

1

+0 (+0%)

Apr 23

1

+0 (+0%)

Apr 24

1

+0 (+0%)

What is the mortality rate in Gambia?

Deaths by coronavirus versus statistical death rate

450000000000Apr 15Apr 24)}

In Gambia, approx. 0.726% of the population die each year. With a population of roughly 2,280,000 people in Gambia, that corresponds to about 45 deaths per day on the statistical average.

The graph above shows the reported daily deaths by coronavirus in contrast to the statistical number as baseline.

Coronavirus mortality rate with time-lag correction

10%10%10%10%10%10%11%11%11%11%11%11%11%11%25%0 days14 days)}

To estimate the mortality rate of coronavirus infections, we need to consider that a reported death already showed up in the reported cases a few days before. It is presumed that this lag is between 7 and 14 days. If we assumed that the lag was about 7 days, the mortality rate in Gambia would be approx. 11%.

The graph aboves shows the mortality depending on different presumed lag.

What was the daily increase in the last days in Gambia?

Coronavirus infections

0%0%0%0%11.1%0%0%0%0%0%Apr 15Apr 24)}

The graph above shows the daily increase of reported coronavirus infections in Gambia in the previous days.

Deaths by coronavirus

0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%Apr 15Apr 24)}

The graph shows the daily increase of reported deaths by coronavirus in Gambia in the previous days.

How could the occupation of intensive care beds in Gambia develop?

High standardMedium standard0Apr 25

The graph tries to predict the number of required intensive care units in Gambia. We assume the following:

  • The exponential trend of the past few days has continued and reported cases are active for around 12 days. 2% of active cases are so critical that an intensive care bed is required.
  • High standard: There are 30 intensive care beds per 100,000 inhabitants (684 total).
  • Medium standard: There are 15 intensive care beds per 100,000 inhabitants (342 total).

How can I protect myself and others?

The German Federal Ministry of Health recommends:

  • Keep the greatest possible distance when coughing or sneezing - it is best to turn away.
  • Sneeze into the crook of the arm or a handkerchief, which you can then dispose of.
  • Avoid touching when greeting other people and wash your hands regularly and thoroughly with soap and water for at least 20 seconds.

We do not guarantee the accuracy of the information.

* = Sponsored links (All prices without obligation and subject to change)

Imprint | Privacy policy