Coronavirus in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the

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DISCLAIMER ✋

The estimates and predictions presented here are based partially on speculative mathematical models. All statements without guarantee!

How were the past few days in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the and how could it go on?

Coronavirus infections

394Apr 24254Apr 15588May 4

Using log-linear regression on the data of the previous days, we could infer an increase of reported coronavirus infections in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the of about 4.12% each day. That corresponds to a doubling of the numbers approx. every 17 days.

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported coronavirus infections in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without any slowdown.

Apr 15

254

-

Apr 16

267

+13 (+5.12%)

Apr 17

287

+20 (+7.49%)

Apr 18

307

+20 (+6.97%)

Apr 19

327

+20 (+6.51%)

Apr 20

332

+5 (+1.53%)

Apr 21

350

+18 (+5.42%)

Apr 22

359

+9 (+2.57%)

Apr 23

377

+18 (+5.01%)

Apr 24

394

+17 (+4.51%)

Apr 25

409
404 - 414

+15 (+3.79%)

Apr 26

426
421 - 431

+17 (+4.12%)

Apr 27

443
438 - 448

+18 (+4.12%)

Apr 28

462
456 - 467

+18 (+4.12%)

Apr 29

481
475 - 486

+19 (+4.12%)

Apr 30

500
495 - 506

+20 (+4.12%)

May 1

521
515 - 527

+21 (+4.12%)

May 2

543
537 - 549

+21 (+4.12%)

May 3

565
559 - 571

+22 (+4.12%)

May 4

588
582 - 595

+23 (+4.12%)

Deaths by coronavirus

25Apr 2421Apr 1525May 4

Using log-linear regression on the data of the previous days, we could infer an increase of reported deaths by coronavirus in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the of about -5.82e-10% each day. That corresponds to a doubling of the numbers approx. every -,120,000,000,000 days.

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported deaths by coronavirus in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without any slowdown.

Apr 15

21

-

Apr 16

22

+1 (+4.76%)

Apr 17

23

+1 (+4.55%)

Apr 18

25

+2 (+8.7%)

Apr 19

25

+0 (+0%)

Apr 20

25

+0 (+0%)

Apr 21

25

+0 (+0%)

Apr 22

25

+0 (+0%)

Apr 23

25

+0 (+0%)

Apr 24

25

+0 (+0%)

Apr 25

25
25 - 25

+0 (+-1.46e-9%)

Apr 26

25
25 - 25

+0 (+-5.82e-10%)

Apr 27

25
25 - 25

+0 (+-5.82e-10%)

Apr 28

25
25 - 25

+0 (+-5.82e-10%)

Apr 29

25
25 - 25

+0 (+-5.82e-10%)

Apr 30

25
25 - 25

+0 (+-5.82e-10%)

May 1

25
25 - 25

+0 (+-5.82e-10%)

May 2

25
25 - 25

+0 (+-5.82e-10%)

May 3

25
25 - 25

+0 (+-5.82e-10%)

May 4

25
25 - 25

+0 (+-5.82e-10%)

What is the mortality rate in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the?

Deaths by coronavirus versus statistical death rate

2,2101112000000Apr 15Apr 24)}

In Congo, the Democratic Republic of the, approx. 0.96% of the population die each year. With a population of roughly 84,100,000 people in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the, that corresponds to about 2,210 deaths per day on the statistical average.

The graph above shows the reported daily deaths by coronavirus in contrast to the statistical number as baseline.

Coronavirus mortality rate with time-lag correction

6.3%6.6%7%7.1%7.5%7.6%8.1%8.7%9.4%9.8%10%11%11%11%12%0 days14 days)}

To estimate the mortality rate of coronavirus infections, we need to consider that a reported death already showed up in the reported cases a few days before. It is presumed that this lag is between 7 and 14 days. If we assumed that the lag was about 7 days, the mortality rate in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the would be approx. 8.7%.

The graph aboves shows the mortality depending on different presumed lag.

What was the daily increase in the last days in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the?

Coronavirus infections

5.39%5.12%7.49%6.97%6.51%1.53%5.42%2.57%5.01%4.51%Apr 15Apr 24)}

The graph above shows the daily increase of reported coronavirus infections in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the in the previous days.

Deaths by coronavirus

5%4.76%4.55%8.7%0%0%0%0%0%0%Apr 15Apr 24)}

The graph shows the daily increase of reported deaths by coronavirus in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the in the previous days.

How could the occupation of intensive care beds in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the develop?

High standardMedium standard3Apr 25

The graph tries to predict the number of required intensive care units in Congo, the Democratic Republic of the. We assume the following:

  • The exponential trend of the past few days has continued and reported cases are active for around 12 days. 2% of active cases are so critical that an intensive care bed is required.
  • High standard: There are 30 intensive care beds per 100,000 inhabitants (25,200 total).
  • Medium standard: There are 15 intensive care beds per 100,000 inhabitants (12,600 total).

How can I protect myself and others?

The German Federal Ministry of Health recommends:

  • Keep the greatest possible distance when coughing or sneezing - it is best to turn away.
  • Sneeze into the crook of the arm or a handkerchief, which you can then dispose of.
  • Avoid touching when greeting other people and wash your hands regularly and thoroughly with soap and water for at least 20 seconds.

We do not guarantee the accuracy of the information.

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