Coronavirus in Cameroon

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DISCLAIMER ✋

The estimates and predictions presented here are based partially on speculative mathematical models. All statements without guarantee!

How were the past few days in Cameroon and how could it go on?

Coronavirus infections

1,430Apr 24848Apr 153,030May 4

Using log-linear regression on the data of the previous days, we could infer an increase of reported coronavirus infections in Cameroon of about 7.87% each day. That corresponds to a doubling of the numbers approx. every 9.2 days.

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported coronavirus infections in Cameroon assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without any slowdown.

Apr 15

848

-

Apr 16

996

+148 (+17.5%)

Apr 17

996

+0 (+0%)

Apr 18

1,020

+21 (+2.11%)

Apr 19

1,020

+0 (+0%)

Apr 20

1,160

+146 (+14.4%)

Apr 21

1,160

+0 (+0%)

Apr 22

1,160

+0 (+0%)

Apr 23

1,330

+171 (+14.7%)

Apr 24

1,430

+96 (+7.2%)

Apr 25

1,530
1,450 - 1,620

+102 (+7.1%)

Apr 26

1,650
1,560 - 1,750

+120 (+7.87%)

Apr 27

1,780
1,680 - 1,890

+130 (+7.87%)

Apr 28

1,920
1,810 - 2,040

+140 (+7.87%)

Apr 29

2,070
1,960 - 2,200

+151 (+7.87%)

Apr 30

2,240
2,110 - 2,370

+163 (+7.87%)

May 1

2,410
2,280 - 2,560

+176 (+7.87%)

May 2

2,600
2,460 - 2,760

+190 (+7.87%)

May 3

2,810
2,650 - 2,970

+205 (+7.87%)

May 4

3,030
2,860 - 3,210

+221 (+7.87%)

Deaths by coronavirus

43Apr 2417Apr 1543May 40

The graph above and the following table show the course of reported deaths by coronavirus in Cameroon assuming that the numbers are following an exponential trend without any slowdown.

Apr 15

17

-

Apr 16

22

+5 (+29.4%)

Apr 17

22

+0 (+0%)

Apr 18

22

+0 (+0%)

Apr 19

42

+20 (+90.9%)

Apr 20

42

+0 (+0%)

Apr 21

43

+1 (+2.38%)

Apr 22

43

+0 (+0%)

Apr 23

43

+0 (+0%)

Apr 24

43

+0 (+0%)

Apr 25

43
43 - 43

+0 (+0%)

Apr 26

43
43 - 43

+0 (+0%)

Apr 27

43
43 - 43

+0 (+0%)

Apr 28

43
43 - 43

+0 (+0%)

Apr 29

43
43 - 43

+0 (+0%)

Apr 30

43
43 - 43

+0 (+0%)

May 1

43
43 - 43

+0 (+0%)

May 2

43
43 - 43

+0 (+0%)

May 3

43
43 - 43

+0 (+0%)

May 4

43
43 - 43

+0 (+0%)

What is the mortality rate in Cameroon?

Deaths by coronavirus versus statistical death rate

66335002001000Apr 15Apr 24)}

In Cameroon, approx. 0.96% of the population die each year. With a population of roughly 25,200,000 people in Cameroon, that corresponds to about 663 deaths per day on the statistical average.

The graph above shows the reported daily deaths by coronavirus in contrast to the statistical number as baseline.

Coronavirus mortality rate with time-lag correction

3%3.2%3.7%3.7%3.7%4.2%4.2%4.3%4.3%5.1%5.1%5.2%5.2%5.2%5.2%0 days14 days)}

To estimate the mortality rate of coronavirus infections, we need to consider that a reported death already showed up in the reported cases a few days before. It is presumed that this lag is between 7 and 14 days. If we assumed that the lag was about 7 days, the mortality rate in Cameroon would be approx. 4.3%.

The graph aboves shows the mortality depending on different presumed lag.

What was the daily increase in the last days in Cameroon?

Coronavirus infections

0%17.5%0%2.11%0%14.4%0%0%14.7%7.2%Apr 15Apr 24)}

The graph above shows the daily increase of reported coronavirus infections in Cameroon in the previous days.

Deaths by coronavirus

21.4%29.4%0%0%90.9%0%2.38%0%0%0%Apr 15Apr 24)}

The graph shows the daily increase of reported deaths by coronavirus in Cameroon in the previous days.

How could the occupation of intensive care beds in Cameroon develop?

High standardMedium standard14Apr 253,780Jul 47,560Jul 13

The graph tries to predict the number of required intensive care units in Cameroon. We assume the following:

  • The exponential trend of the past few days has continued and reported cases are active for around 12 days. 2% of active cases are so critical that an intensive care bed is required.
  • High standard: There are 30 intensive care beds per 100,000 inhabitants (7,560 total).
  • Medium standard: There are 15 intensive care beds per 100,000 inhabitants (3,780 total).

How can I protect myself and others?

The German Federal Ministry of Health recommends:

  • Keep the greatest possible distance when coughing or sneezing - it is best to turn away.
  • Sneeze into the crook of the arm or a handkerchief, which you can then dispose of.
  • Avoid touching when greeting other people and wash your hands regularly and thoroughly with soap and water for at least 20 seconds.

We do not guarantee the accuracy of the information.

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